Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2.301733 2.755491 3.264156 3.874979 4.586832 5.388433 6.357605
2025-12-21 1.645542 2.219617 2.932612 3.876470 5.085480 6.573786 8.535104
2025-12-28 1.332897 1.981838 2.857253 4.109046 5.834538 8.107855 11.303555
2026-01-04 1.086217 1.758343 2.732101 4.218889 6.398067 9.434483 13.933460
2026-01-11 0.925620 1.614868 2.677587 4.394453 7.045603 10.917447 16.910496
2026-01-18 0.767868 1.438076 2.533638 4.398716 7.419791 12.024067 19.436294
2026-01-25 0.618269 1.241051 2.318460 4.247082 7.516018 12.701578 21.360614
2026-02-01 0.500612 1.074325 2.122085 4.088797 7.566756 13.292509 23.180758
2026-02-08 0.426980 0.974137 2.023794 4.079998 7.856279 14.280396 25.707110
2026-02-15 0.368588 0.891705 1.943320 4.087910 8.168049 15.323325 28.401472
2026-02-22 0.314358 0.806288 1.842064 4.039333 8.365705 16.178791 30.836973
2026-03-01 0.256417 0.699639 1.679332 3.844694 8.261988 16.482796 32.321523
2026-03-08 0.219969 0.636382 1.599808 3.812147 8.475349 17.396454 35.006281
2026-03-15 0.190340 0.583278 1.533776 3.798580 8.724600 18.399551 37.941724
2026-03-22 0.179476 0.576824 1.573825 4.022149 9.484557 20.442735 42.988989
2026-03-29 0.162919 0.550918 1.562972 4.128404 10.006471 22.061384 47.342874
2026-04-05 0.151505 0.537102 1.579568 4.300110 10.686593 24.048622 52.559313
2026-04-12 0.133692 0.499685 1.529334 4.304147 10.993679 25.298517 56.399152
2026-04-19 0.112277 0.445121 1.423666 4.155413 10.935016 25.779628 58.714548
2026-04-26 0.093964 0.395419 1.321751 4.000200 10.841096 26.172671 60.869778
2026-05-03 0.082963 0.367958 1.278204 3.991569 11.095192 27.336436 64.720249
2026-05-10 0.073813 0.344631 1.242641 3.999326 11.389483 28.610499 68.892904
2026-05-17 0.064407 0.317439 1.190032 3.951697 11.538717 29.567817 72.441740